:Product: 0614RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jun 14 2205 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 166 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 998
(S10W01) decayed to spotless plage.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels.  A
co-rotating interaction region was observed at the ACE spacecraft
around 14/1200Z.  Wind speeds began climbing soon thereafter to end
the period at just below 550 km/s, with the interplanetary magnetic
field Bz component ranging between +13 and -17 nT.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the forecast period
(15 to 17 June).  There is a chance for active conditions and a
slight chance for isolated minor storm periods all three days due to
a coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
position.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Jun 067
Predicted   15 Jun-17 Jun  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        14 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun  008/008-010/010-012/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/25
Minor storm           05/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/25
Minor storm           05/15/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/01